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Saturday, June 11, 2022

IMF PREDICTION 12 COUNTRIES WILL BE BANKRUPT IN 2022, AFTER SRI LANKA IS PAKISTAN?!

    Before we go on about the possibility of the world collapsing or going bankrupt economically we remind our country of the Sri Lankan model of statehood.

    Sri Lanka is a country that is wrong in managing its country. Sri Lanka is indeed intensively building, but building something that is not productive and even consumptive, such as building an airport that is far from where there is an empty need, building a seaport that is not visited by foreign ships except ships from China even though 100% of commercial ships passing through the Malacca Strait must pass. 

    The Andaman Sea, and the Indian Ocean where Sri Lanka's territory was apparently only passed through, did not dock at the port, did not drop off and exchange cargo or other logistics strategies, the empty airport was built very far from requiring air transportation, namely, it was built in the president's hometown and Sri Lanka's prime minister who is a brother and sister, Rajapaksa's hometown.

    Sri Lanka has a state and policies that only benefit the business of its officials, making regulations to protect the power of the Rajapaksa dynasty, which seems to be for the benefit of the people, but it is not. The state only creates wealth among the regime officials and the families of corrupt officials, which in this case are the oligarchs' families and Rajapaksa's colleagues.

    The facts on the ground are Sri Lanka is now in a severe economic crisis, the country is hit by demonstrations every day, hospitals stop performing surgeries, and electricity goes out in 50% of Sri Lanka. Food reserves are only one month left.

    We are heading to Pakistan now. Pakistan's economy needs 36 billion dollars to be able to sustain the life of the Pakistani people when they asked the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for help to bail out Pakistan's debt, apparently, the IMF refused Pakistan's request.

    What caused the rejection? Pakistan can be said to be a dangerous country. It is very dangerous because there are three major terrorist groups living in Pakistan and the number is very large in Pakistan.

    Pakistan is also a country that has nuclear weapons. Currently, the new Prime Minister of Pakistan Shahbaz Sharif is in Turkiye, his goal for the Survival Of Pakistan's Nation. Pakistan needs cash to pay its obligations of 36 Billion Dollars.

    Pakistan is Desperate but so far nothing has helped him. Did Pakistan become like the Brazilian country of Latin America during the economic crisis in the 80s like Mexico went bankrupt!!! Now Sri Lanka is like a Mexican country in the '80s.

    In the past, Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves were 10 billion dollars, which could only be used for two months by the Pakistan government. The state of Pakistan asked for IMF assistance again and was rejected because the IMF asked Pakistan to change its state financial strategy first, namely, Cut Costs, be more efficient, remove subsidies for fuel oil and electricity for the poor, raise taxes, make private two state banks, the bank became private because during this time as a state-owned bank there was an extraordinary amount of corruption, cutting off support for the terrorist groups Taliban, Isis, and Al-Qaida, of which there were a total of around 40,000 armed terrorist troops in Pakistan, and expelling terrorists from Pakistan.

    Pakistan must no longer be a safe haven for terrorist countries, the solution that Pakistan tried later was to issue debt securities or Surety Bonds, but it turned out that no one was buying them, then Pakistan moved closer to a friendly country, namely China as Pakistan's largest project lender, and was also rejected by China.

    Then docking to Saudi Arabia and to the United Arab Emirates was also rejected. There is only one condition for the friendly countries, that is, if the IMF agrees, they will help. Let's go into detail again, why don't these countries want to help Pakistan? because of the bad habits of the country of Pakistan itself.

    In the last 20 years, Pakistan has carried out Bail Out 22 times and it is indeed difficult to manage the country. For the 23rd occasion, this time all countries have retreated regularly, causing Pakistan to collapse following in Sri Lanka's Way.

    Now we head to Argentina. Inflation that reached 50% in six months due to high imports of oil, gas, and food, then facing the IMF to ask for a loan of 45 billion dollars has not been granted. At the same time, the countries of El Salvador and Peru shared the same fate as Argentina, where inflation was above 30% and these four months were the worst unemployment in the last 10 years.

    We are heading to sub-Saharan Africa now seems to need 70 billion dollars, Gana needs 45 billion dollars for Bail Out, also happening in South African countries.

    We're heading to Turkiye. Inflation that occurred in Turkiye reached 70 percent in the past 12 months. The Turkiye lira fell 30% in the past 12 months. From this data, all world banks predict that after Sri Lanka there will be 12 more bankrupt countries like Sri Lanka in 2022 because they cannot pay their foreign debt obligations to China.

    We convey information at this time that most developing countries have large and heavy loan problems, the national budget of the country is almost exhausted and even minus, all bankrupt countries are forced to cut state budgets to focus on very emergency needs only.

    Then as New Mind Millennial Official? Is there a solution to this world's economic problems? The first way is to stop debt using other countries' currencies, especially using dollars.

    Then strengthen national food security without importing at all, then cut the state budget, especially for projects that do not create a domino effect of national economic growth, no longer take loans from foreign countries, and build without activating the national economic forces that contribute to development.

    For example, if there is a project, 80% of the minimum content is national strength, both from human resources and capital. Projects that rely on foreign funds, foreign workers, as well as foreign currencies, and foreign technology, should no longer be given opportunities to foreign countries because they can make us trapped in debt. Indeed, the economic debt crisis can cause a security crisis, a defense crisis, and a crisis for your country's sovereignty.

#GEOPOLITICS

Wednesday, June 8, 2022

PUTIN SHOWING PROOF OF THE DANGERS OF THE DEBT TRAP!!! SRI LANKA WAY STATE EXAMPLE

    In the state, of course, not only political content but also economic, ideological, defense, cultural, social, and security issues. Understanding economics is very important. Historical facts show that Indonesia is four years older than China, Indonesia was founded in 1945, and China was founded in 1949. Indonesia's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita is currently around 4,300 dollars, China's per capita is 15,800 dollars, Singapore became independent in 1965 and was 20 years younger than Indonesia, and GDP per capita is 59,500 dollars.

    Indonesia is far behind. We admit that there is indeed something wrong in managing the potential of the Indonesian state in the current seven presidencies and the direction of the state and the Nation's Interest is not yet a Work Class. But if we are a nation looking for safety, then we will compare it with other weaker countries such as saying Ethiopia is still poor, Myanmar is still poor, India is still under Indonesia, for this it is up to you to look at yourself, feel we are under-performing or feel we are enough as it is now is what is right and what is best for your country.

    Studying geoeconomics, studying the state from the economic side. We go into the passage of time and go back in time, to the 1980s. The heyday of breakdancing, punk music, punk hair, over-the-shoulder suits, Walkmans, cassettes, etc.

    Pop culture and the explosion of new technology occurred in Indonesia and certainly happened all over the world during the 1980s. The joy on the other side is dark. In Latin America, the 80s were a year of disaster, even Latin America called the 80s the Lost Decade.

    Why? because they were facing financial turmoil, and severe financial problems, Debt Typhoon hit the Latin American economy because in the 80s there were two oil price increases, namely Oil Price Shock!! which makes many Latin American countries into trade balance deficits.

    Mexico was the first country to collapse and go bankrupt in 1982, declaring that the country was unable to pay its debts, it turned out to have created a domino effect in various Latin American countries which also had huge national debts, then Brazil declared itself bankrupt, then Chile, Argentina, Colombia, Venezuela. , one by one collapsing like Domino's, their country faces a deep recession in debt as high as a mountain, high inflation, unemployment rising dramatically, and a slow-growing economy that doesn't even grow.

    We Fast Forward to the time machine again, to 3 decades later to the present, will history repeat itself? we see countries around the world today, many developing countries are currently struggling to deal with sovereign debt or a crisis facing national debt, one of which is Sri Lanka.

    Sri Lanka's economy has collapsed, debt has piled up, foreign exchange reserves are only one month left to buy products for national needs that Sri Lanka cannot produce, and the worst thing is that Sri Lanka's daily basic needs are 60% relying on imports, this all happened because Sri Lanka mismanagement managed the country's potential, they spend more than their country's income, the State Budget is always minus plus there are other factors that happened to other countries such as Sri Lanka, the effects of the pandemic for two years made the economy slow down around the world, increasing loans from weak countries and the invasion of Russia to Ukraine resulted in increased prices of oil and natural gas and drastically reduced food prices and world food availability.

    What is happening in Sri Lanka right now? Will the mutation bring a domino effect like in the '80s, in 1982, which started with Mexico, what happened this year in Sri Lanka?

    Will it become a mutation and spread throughout the world of this Sri Lanka Way? is Sri Lanka a "Canary in the Coal Mine"? this is an idiom sentence that means "Early Warning" will be a sign of danger. The canaries are birds that often sound at the beginning of the coal mine being explored, which indicates the possible danger of sulfur effects and environmental damage to the coal.

    We go back to the time machine on February 9, 2022, before Russia invaded Ukraine, on February 15, 2022, where the World Bank warned the world that the debts of developing countries were in crisis due to the effects of the pandemic and economic slowdown.

    The World Bank mentions 70 countries that have the potential to become pariah countries, semi-failed countries, namely debt defaults. 70 countries Low Income Country, the total interest expense alone has accumulated almost 1000 billion dollars in 2022, where in 9 days after the announcement, Russia attacked Ukraine which caused oil prices to rise, world distribution networks were disrupted, food prices increased and food availability was limited. all make economic analysis difficult to see the bright side of the economy in 2022.

    In March 2022, the United Nations again announced that 107 countries were affected. One of the three world problems. What are the three world problems, namely the first: rising food prices. The second is the increase in energy prices, and the third is severe domestic economic conditions such as rising inflation, high unemployment, etc.

    Of the 107 troubled countries, they represent 1.7 billion people, aka 20% of the world's population, from 107 countries affected by one of the three problems, there is an interesting one.

    There are 69 countries in it that are facing these three problems at once, namely food problems, energy problems, and financial problems. So, the 69 countries can be like Sri Lanka, namely 25 countries in Africa, 20 countries in the Asia Pacific, and 19 countries in Latin America.

    Economists even predict that only countries in Africa, such as Egypt, will be affected by the three world problems, especially in other countries, Egypt's main food grain has started to disappear from the Egyptian market and its price has risen by 50%.

    The Egyptian government recently said food reserves last only three more months at the Egyptian Food Reserve. Tunisia, the originator of the Arab Spring, owed 100% of its GDP, and seven percent of inflation, which could cause people to take part in demonstrations on the streets because of these economic problems.

    Lebanon in the past two years has increased 11 times regarding the need for these food prices, then the Lebanese Pound has decreased in value to the remaining 10% and the country's debt is 360 percent of GDP. there is another supply, Lebanon is already short of food. The news will continue to be long, and the data will continue to grow but the moral of the story is whether your country will owe China? you who can answer all that friend.

#GEOPOLITICS

Tuesday, June 7, 2022

JOE BIDEN & XI JINPING WANT TO DOWN THE LAND OF AFRICA!!! LEAVE EUROPE & RUSSIA !!!

    In geopolitical competition in Africa, China is far ahead in Africa at this time, infrastructure development, trade development, and of course mining development for raw materials, all of which have been massively controlled by China. Africa builds without capital it turns out to make Africa stuck with China's huge debt.

    It looks like something is being built and there is little money for African countries, but of course, there is a debt burden that must be paid off. It must also be remembered that it is not only China that gives debt to Africa, there are other countries that are doing the same thing, such as the European Union and America. who invest in Africa, there are more than 6,000 American companies operating in Africa, it was so rude of former American President Donald Trump at that time to say Africa is a place to dump waste.

    For America, Africa is nothing but a battlefield created by the United States, as a training ground for American soldiers, as a place to sell American weapons, and deliberately create wars and conflicts in African countries. There are currently 13,000 American troops in 13 African countries such as Cameroon, Chad, Kenya, Libya, Mali, Somalia, Nigeria, and many more.

    Then why in the last seven years has America become the focus of Africa? because Africa is a new battleground with China, a new competition, a new field of competition between American supremacy and China.

    America right now is like being slapped by China in Africa and America wants to take back its influence in Africa. Then Biden earlier this year said Africa is the future of the world, America's future, why? Because in 2050 the population of Africa will almost double from the current estimated 2.3 billion African population with 60% under the age of 25, this demographic potential is very potential.

    Apart from Israel, the European Union, America, China, and there are other countries, namely India, which are playing in Africa. India has played a large role in Africa since Mahatma Gandhi in South Africa in the '40s to 50's influenced the politics and independence of many African countries, namely countries such as Ghana, Algeria, Morocco, Angola, and South Africa, they all have equal anti-racist rights. White people in Africa who raised themselves that white people are superior to black people.

    Mahatma Gandhi at the beginning of his struggle was in Africa. Since 2018, Indian prime minister Narendra Modi has set foot in Africa and then followed up with diplomatic steps by building 18 Indian embassies in 18 new African countries. India is building defense alliances in Nigeria, Zambia, Botswana, and seven other African countries, one of which is being a military training partner for the African country.

    India also provides 50,000 scholarships to African youths to study in India. India's influence is still far below China and America, of course, China has tied more than 50 African countries, with various soft power strategies, trade strategies, and infrastructure.

    In the past, Africa was colonized by Europe by force, by force, now Africa is trapped with a huge debt burden, and the depletion of Africa's natural resources that are not necessarily able to pay off Africa's debt when it runs out.

    It is certain that with these various strategies China will take and control Africa. In conclusion, China is the winner. The Chinese are the largest diaspora in Africa, China puts a lot of money in Africa, and China continues to spread Mandarin films in Africa, building cultural affinity and Chinese money.

    China siphons African minerals and then takes the raw materials and then sells them back to Africa. As in the early Middle Ages, there was great competition between Britain and France in Africa for Africa's natural resources and the world's geopolitical power in the 21st century.

    The point is there really anything left for the people and nation of Africa? There doesn't seem to be any. Again the next question is very interesting. It's unfair that we only discuss the geopolitical side of Africa because not everything that happens in Africa is bad and is affected by China's debt, as well as American military traps.

    Let's go to African geoeconomics now. Indeed, in the minds of many people, Africa, is synonymous with hunger, poverty, and a dangerous place, because there are many rebellions everywhere and its wild nature, that is Africa's past.

    We'll just prove it. We're back in Ethiopia now. The fact that data shows that 50% of its citizens are currently still at the poverty line, but seeing the steps taken by the current government, Ethiopia is moving forward and developing very quickly.

    When the new government in Ethiopia in 2018 installed Zahle Work Zewde, as the first female President in Ethiopia, corruption was reduced by 50% this year and equal rights increased where 50% of parliamentarians are men. A political prisoner he was released and Ethiopia has been at peace in recent years and its economy is up 10%.

    We go to Rwanda now, a country right in the middle of Africa that can be said to be the cleanest and most innovative country in Africa then we jump to Nigeria now, the largest economy in Africa which focuses its country on becoming "the next digital country of Africa" ​​by having itself is Nigeria's Google, Nigeria's Alibaba, Nigeria's Social Media, and various applications that make Nigeria not dependent on the western world in terms of applications.

    Then Zimbabwe overthrew the dictator who became an accomplice of America and became an accomplice of China for 40 years in power which made the symbol of the state of Zimbabwe today a free country, and a new country in Africa, as well as Botswana as the fastest growing country in the world in the last 40 years, Botswana grew with 3,000 percent growth or 30 times GDP growth built initially 40 years ago only that became the spirit in the new economy in Africa.

#GEOPOLITICS

Friday, June 3, 2022

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF RUSSIA TO PRESS EUROPE, TO CONTROL AFRICA!!! WHAT'S THE GREAT PLAN OF CHINA?

    Africa used to be in the Middle Ages, Europeans said that Africa was the antithesis of Europe or the height of European culture. The opposite was Africa, which was uncultured, low in human dignity, and the center of darkness in the world, until several centuries later Africa was still ignored by the world, its contents only conflict, poverty, hunger, and ignorance, until one day there was a country saw a great opportunity in Africa and since then there has been competition for struggle in Africa.

    It's not really different from the behavior of Europe in the Middle Ages, where Europe was until the 20th century, where British and French colonialist countries for example took African raw materials and then enslaved African people, and all of this influenced the world geopolitics.

    Now in the 21st century, the competition is the same in China, America, India, Canada, the European Union, Israel, and Japan. All these countries are vying for control of Africa and in that competition, one country can be assured of absolute victory over the race to conquer Africa, namely China.

This information about Africa is important because so far Africa is known as a continent consisting of 54 independent countries, Sovereign countries, 17 percent of the world's population, 9.6 percent of the world's oil producers, 90% of the world's platinum suppliers, 90% of the world's Cobalt providers, half of the world's platinum suppliers. World gold production, 2/3 of the world's manganese producer, 30% of the world's uranium production, and of course 54 votes or Votes in the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations that's all that make Africa very attractive, which makes Africa a battlefield of the global world of all things by experts. countries categorized as Global players are carried out in Africa such as building infrastructure, building diplomacy, providing military power, using soft power, trade, and geopolitics all played in different styles by all countries interested in Africa.

    We give examples of what world players are doing in Africa, for example in 2016 Israel maneuvered in Africa, when Benjamin Netanyahu was the first Israeli leader to be present in Africa in the last 50 years. What does Israel want? Israel needs 54 votes to support the UN resolution that is pro-Israel and against Palestine.

    Africa and Israel have a common history. Thus Netanyahu diplomatically then Israel became a sponsor or supporter of Africa's need for energy with solar power, clean water supply, and the world of agriculture where we all know Israel these three things are the best in the world about agriculture in the desert, clean water from seawater, and electrical energy. from solar power.

    Later that same year 2016, Senegal protested the construction of Jewish housing on Palestinian land on the West Bank. What did Israel do to Senegal? Israel cancels The Mashav Drip irrigation project in Senegal that could drink 5,000,000 Senegalese people.

    This is just one example and there is another EU that will invest 54 billion-dollar in Africa, the question then what does the EU want? namely access to African markets for the 1.3 billion people on the African continent.

    The European Union has entered into trade agreements with 40 African countries but does this trade agreement benefit African countries? no, Europe is the one who gets the big profit, remember that the investment must be the one who wins, but whatever it is there is no country that has the biggest interest in Africa other than China.

    China has in the last 17 years financed one in four infrastructure projects in Africa and we all know that Africa is very short on road infrastructure and China knows that and prepares a thick checkbook to build and finance it.

    Since 2005, China has provided funds worth more than 2,000,000,000,000 USD or 2,000 billion dollars or 16 times Indonesia's State Budget to Africa, a course in the form of goods, technology, and jobs, the money remains in China, capitalizing on its own company, its own State-Owned Enterprise.

    China built 6,200 KM of railway which is the longest railway network in Africa connecting Ethiopia and Djibouti and to control Chinese investment, Beijing built an African development headquarters in Addis Ababa.

    So what did China get? Many. China won very much. All infrastructure in Africa is what makes it easier for Chinese goods to enter Africa and makes it easier for African natural resources to go out to China, sound familiar? seems familiar with this strategy.

    In addition to economic factors, China gets geopolitical support from the United Nations, China is not only building Africa but selling Chinese culture, selling Chinese money, and even street signs in many African countries using mandarin letters, it can be concluded that in the past 17 years China has tied 50 African countries.

    Several African countries have used Yuan in their daily transactions in the market and China obtained a strategic location for its naval power and seaports in 2017 for the first time China built a military base outside China, namely at the tip of the African continent, namely in the country of Djibouti in East Africa.

    Djibouti connects the Mediterranean Sea with the Indian Ocean through the Suez canal at the Chinese military base in Djibouti. A total of 10,000 troops are already deployed there. On the product side, Africa is the world's largest dumping ground for Chinese products.

    China is Africa's largest trading partner, which has grown 44 times or 4,400 percent in the last 2 decades or in the last 20 years in Africa, there are more than 10,000 Chinese companies there. Based on information from a study conducted by Mackenzi, why is Africa said to be a dumping ground for Chinese goods? We all know that in production there is an Economic Scale or a certain amount of products that will be efficient in cost, for example, making shirts.

    If you make 10 it costs US$ 15, if you make 1000 it costs US$ 10 per piece, if you make 100,000, the price per fruit is only US$ 5. If you make one million pieces, it turns out to be US$ 5 per piece. So US$ 5 and the number 100,000 is the Economic Scale, China sells one shirt for only US$ 20 for example per piece.

    China produces for the world 1,000,000 shirts it produces, its capital is 5,000,000,000 sold 250 shirts, investment returns. Sold 800,000 shirts, luckily very big. Now, the remaining 200,000 in the warehouse are sold at a price of zero US$, profit instead of having to fill the warehouse volume, so China is dumping it and dumping it into Africa at any price, 50 cents is also okay.

    For Africa, Waow China is very good. That is one of the uses of Africa for China, a place to dispose of goods at cheap prices, and a place for dumping, on the other hand, what is equally important for China is its natural resources.

    Indeed, Africa has the raw materials, China is the one who builds access to and controls them of course. China's third-largest investment worldwide is China's mining sector in Africa, so what lessons have been learned so far have you started to understand?

#GEOPOLITICS

THE BATTERY BUSINESS VIOLATES HUMAN RIGHTS, LIFE IS PAID CHEAP!!!

    We talk about batteries, so we must also talk about weather changes, the effect of fossil oil being burned as well as coal is one of the contributors to geothermal which results in weather changes that worsen air quality and changes in temperature increase everywhere, resulting in a decrease in human antibodies as well as problems. food shortage.

    Green energy is the solution and all humans are competing to be at the forefront, how do we change the use of coal with water-based energy or hydropower, convert fossil oil with solar power, gasoline-powered cars, and diesel oil into battery-powered vehicles. EV or Electric Vehicle is used as an environmentally friendly vehicle, clean and can be recycled and sustainable if you look at the propaganda.

    Is it true that battery-based electric vehicles are clean? Is it really clean or behind the glitter of the electric battery there is a terrible story called Blood battery or does this electric battery business all contain blood?

    This battery-based motor vehicle industry in fact violates human rights, brings poverty, and enslaves children.

    Electric vehicles are controlled by batteries which you are familiar with of course the question is do you know how these batteries are made? and what is it made of? one of which is a metal that is very rarely available, namely Lithium or Li and Cobalt or CO, cobalt provides stability in the battery.

    Cobalt is a bluish-gray metal obtained from Crust rock or commonly called Crystal Rock. Cobalt has many benefits, such as for turbine engines, jet aircraft, mining equipment, cosmetic coloring pigments as well as smartphone batteries, which generally are Lithium Iron batteries aka 50% cobalt which are currently produced by vehicle batteries or electronic vehicles, whereas in one vehicle battery uses 4 -30 kg of cobalt.

    This metal is found in several regions of the earth such as in Australia, Canada, China, South Africa, and Indonesia. But 70% of the cobalt is produced by a country namely the Democratic Republic of Congo.

    The country of Congo is still full of poverty, full of corruption, and conflict, but under the Congo underground there is the largest cobalt deposit in the world where the population of Congo is 92 million and more than two million people depend on Cobalt mining, they are called the Negociants.

    There are two large groups in the Congo that produce cobalt, there are large-scale industrial companies, and there are illegal or artisanal miners whose businesses are small but produce the most. These illegal miners do not have occupational health protocols, are very brutal, and fight over territory between fellow miners, there is no legal protection here. These illegal miners have more than 100,000 working children, some are even six years old.

    These little children play with death every day. They enter into a narrow and deep well where no adult can enter and it is like entering a hot stove and they only have 20 minutes of oxygen on average, the children have to dig the well in very inhuman conditions. not even digging equipment.

    Most of these children only use their hands, they don't use masks, they don't use tools, they don't use gloves, they don't have enough heat and they don't have oxygen. How much money do they get? not more than one dollar per day Rp. 15,000 not more per day.

    In fact, cobalt transactions per year are worth more than 12 billion dollars and in 2027 it is estimated that the demand will increase by 50% from now. Of course, the money was never distributed because it was the children of underage workers who found and sorted the metal, even though these children bet their lives per year more than 2000 children die trapped in wells that lack oxygen or are crushed by the collapse of the walls of the well, not to mention The victims of lung cancer, skin infections and accidents that cause disability are thousands of people every year in Congo, and in 2021 yesterday a village in the Congo country filed a lawsuit demanding Apple Incorporated and Tesla be responsible for what happened to its citizens, but the lawsuit this never came to fruition this claim was known as John Doe Team 1.

    When asked why his children work in the cobalt mine? because they want to get out of poverty, for the citizens of Congo, cobalt is a gamble that can make them rich like betting crypto coins like a millennial kid's toy in the city.

    Cobalt demand has tripled in the last 10 years and it is expected to triple again in the next 10 years 90% of the demand is driven by the increase in motorized vehicles and electric vehicles.

    In 2022, there will be 6.5 million electric car vehicles and it is estimated that by 2040 there will be 65 million vehicles, a 10-fold increase in the next two decades, during which time cobalt is needed, up 585 percent of its current availability.

    Many families in the combo i.e. Warlord thugs and corrupt officials in Congo get out of poverty!!! really sending their small children to the mines is no longer a necessity, but it is a must for the children to work in illegal mines where there is no protection whatsoever but many large companies accommodate the produce they make cheaply.

    For the businessman, it is cheaper to buy from illegal miners than from big miners. What's more remarkable is that 90% of the buyers were from China, and 70% of the mining companies in Congo were Chinese companies that controlled 15 of the 19 mines in Congo, which took 90% of the products from illegal mining and large mines.

    China currently controls 80% of the world's cobalt refining. China in bartering cobalt did promise to build Congo with road infrastructure, and schools, but only piecemeal, and Congo can certainly be one of the countries played by China which has never shown the result that Congo is a better country than yesterday.

    China can be said to be the biggest contributor to the bloody battery business, namely the Blood battery. Apart from the end result, China is also responsible for spilled blood.

    The largest Chinese-owned company is Congo Dongfang Mining (CDM), a subsidiary of Huayou Cobalt, which supplies all companies in Europe such as Volkswagen, for example, a Chinese company in Congo practices the same thing as illegal cobalt miners without guaranteed work safety and low wages for their employees. if a worker dies, the Chinese company buries him on the spot and bribes the victim's family without ever reporting it to the government.

    So if you think of electric vehicles as killing people even before they are used on the streets, so we can imagine the biggest companies in the world currently using cobalt in their batteries like Tesla, Volvo, Renault, Mercedez, and Volkswagen, use sources from the Congo which are said to implement Zero's tolerance for child labor do not actually apply his tolerance to child labor in the cobalt mines in Congo.

the Tesla Model 3 standard range

    Currently, Tesla is promising to use Zero Cobalt-based LFP (Lithium Iron Phosphate) batteries in the Tesla Model 3 standard range, but Tesla is still buying Cobalt from Glencore, a Swiss metal trading company that is the biggest buyer in Chinese mines in the Congo.

Glencore

    Tesla buys 6,000 Tons of cobalt per year, so we are starting to understand that this battery says "Green energy" turns out to be "Dirty Energy" this game is very dirty, it says it wants to make climate change better, but why sacrifice thousands of human children?!!

    Really the battery is still using Koba. The goal of the world is still long to make the world cleaner, so I hope you all understand that Cobalt is actually very evil and in the future, it will definitely be at the end of the dirty game, as well as Indonesia's nickel if the battery is made at the end of the dirty game.

#GEOPOLITICS

Tuesday, May 31, 2022

ERDOGAN'S CRAZY PLAN ft. PUTIN TO DOMINATE EUROPE!!! DOES AMERICA KNOW?!!

    It's still about Putin's strategy of having joint strength in Europe with Turkey and Russia's strength in the rest of the world with China, it's very cool that their move is for them to become Global players, they take the steps full of calculations like the steps of a chess Grand Master with a rating of 2900, his steps certainly more beautiful, but of course, we start by understanding and discussing the steps of these Russian alliances.

    Russia, Turkey, and China are playing beautifully against the dollar, challenging the swift system, challenging oil and gas using food to starve the world, using gold, and many more ring battles they are playing all of which challenge the hegemony of America and its allies.

    Let's talk about the various wars first, then move on to the Russian-Turkish strategy. This information includes:

    First, in the Defense Pact. In the beginning, the approach was military, but in the end, it was also economic.

    Number two is the ideological war. The communist war versus democracy war, religious war versus communism versus democracy, and lastly we discuss the history of the archipelago which Gajah Mada (Minister of Majapahit empire 1273 AD) used an economic approach in uniting, reads "conquer" the archipelago which is now imitated by China, namely using its economic approach in the conquest of a region, since 2013 the world has shifted away from its main axis which always uses military force or Hard Power to use soft power using economic conquest.

    We are discussing now that in war there is a seizure of territory for economic purposes and the struggle for the territory to spread ideology, namely religious ideology, and political ideologies such as communism versus democracy.

    In fact, the ideological war is the most illegible war, namely the ideological war of money and the war of wealth, if it is wrapped in propaganda for the prosperity of the people, even though oligarchs and people close to power are also the rich. Then there are political ideologies such as communist ideology as well as religious ideologies, both of which are the most visible because there is a physical identity, either individual or group.

    The two ideologies, whether political or religious or religious, are seen as very frightening, they also spill the bigotry of the holders of this ideology, while if they are wrapped in an economy like China's One Belt One Road (OBOR), a biased view is created. One Belt One Road (OBOR) who really prospers? Whose advantage is the biggest? for a country that joins China, the benefit of its people or the benefit of its officials.

    Then also the influence on a country, whoever is the leader of the country waiting for their turn is still determined by Beijing because that is the strategy of conquest, using officials who side with Beijing, whoever the person is, whenever the era, whatever the regime.

    The point is that money is made easy for the official in power and of course, once again the lucky ones are those who have the current soft power strategy, namely China's TORCH. Currently, China's One Belt One Road (OBOR) is doing it. We will elaborate further to understand the meaning of economics by looking at historical facts as well as answering the question why is Europe Rich and Africa Poor?

    Why is North America rich? Why is South America poor? Why are China rich and South Asia poor? the countries of the northern hemisphere of the equator are rich countries that annex the wealth of the countries south of the equator.

    We return to the past briefly the cruelty of the power of wheel and horse transportation where the masterpiece of the world at that time the link between the west and east was the "Silkroad" product exchange and development of Chinese paper production, Chinese gunpowder, Indian spices and gold, Indian clothing materials, Silk from China bartered plates, ceramics, jewelry from Europe to the advancement of shipping navigation technology from the Middle East to Europe.

    When the world of shipping grew less than 50 years in Europe, the Silkroad was only used for less than 20 percent, and the world was more quickly connected by the sea. The advancement of European machinery technology demands a lot of raw materials, the prosperity of Europe demands more and more production goods and production goods require raw materials.

    This was the beginning of the northern nations being more advanced because having four seasons made them for thousands of years whose harsh weather made them at the same time have a hard civilization and had to survive with many innovations.

    Innovation is the key to the survival of a nation and the harshness of the seasons in the north of the equator, most of which are very extreme, ranging from dry heat above 35° Celsius to freezing cold below 10 degrees Celsius, making Northern humans for thousands of years innovate faster in technology than Southern humans who only most of the two seasons whose skills are only natural management of agriculture.

    Southern humans are not very ready for war, fighting 1 on 1 or war between villages, between tribes, maybe there are or experts but few, but wars with hundreds of people even thousands of people fighting, Europeans as well as other Northern nations like China or the Mongols are much more used to it.

    The progress of machinery since the Middle Ages has been in contact with many rulers of kings or Land Lords in many parts of Europe, making them creative and innovative, Europeans since the 17th century moved to find a new world which coincidentally also parallels the European continent, namely the Americas, later on. named America and now almost 250 years of America's independence, America remains the target of human Freethinkers because of the freedom of the state to migrate and settle in America.

    Back to W4R culture. In the first world war in Europe, the 2nd world war in Europe, and Greater East Asia all the territories were on the Northside of the equator then there was the Cold War where the communist side created the Defense Pact. Warsaw Pact against West Side, North Atlantic Treaty Organization NATO Why form defenses? because building a military force itself is very expensive then in the long term there is not necessarily an attack, but without preparation for war, a region will be weak and easily conquered by ambitious visionary leaders and usually very fond of past history for the greatness of their nation, the leader has romanticism history is approx.

    We all know that at this time the aggressor country is America, if you don't want to be attacked, just join America or rather submit to America, and the natural wealth of a region is sucked into America for America's interests.

    If you don't obey, your government will be overthrown or embargoed or attacked militarily like Erdogan will be overthrown by America but saved by Russia, also another proof of the current war by America is on fossil oil-producing countries which America will continue to hold oil. and the world's natural gas.

    Returning to Turkey's role this time in the war in Ukraine, Turkey did not carry out NATO's orders to impose economic sanctions and the embargo on Russian products did the opposite. The transactions between the two countries increased dramatically as well as the Russian oligarchs, who are definitely people close to Putin putting their money in Turkey.

    Turkey becomes a Save Haven Russian tycoons and merchants are once again protecting their assets in Turkey, a bold and smart state move from Turkey even before the Ukraine war, Turkey bought a lot of S400 missiles, and air defense missiles from Russia.

    Turkey's move to NATO countries has become a subject of gossip because it considers Turkey no longer suitable to be in NATO because Turkey is a spy and Russia's secret weapon. this is difficult to do in Europe, what is there is to join NATO, or join Russia.

    Maybe after Sweden and Finland will join NATO but are rejected by Turkey, only Switzerland and Austria are still neutral and are very likely to be annexed by NATO even though Moldova is already preparing to join NATO, of course, the map of Europe must also be redrawn by us. In our Redraw Map of Europe, we have to change the way we look at the European countries.

    Now the question is, did this war happen because NATO attacked or because Russia attacked? Currently, Ukraine is the spearhead of NATO with 18 billion dollars of new budgets from European and American countries providing more than 40 billion dollars more if totaled in rupiah, which is approximately almost 850 trillion. Around this time in Brussels Belgium where the NATO Central command against Russia is closing ranks. What are their next steps? it seems that the third world war will be a long time.

#GEOPOLITICS

2 FACE ERDOGAN?!! WHAT IS THE TURKIYE IMPOSTOR IN NATO AS PUTIN'S SECRET WEAPON?!!

    Starting with the question, Is Turkey a secret weapon of Russia? when Sweden and Finland saw Russia's military aggression against Ukraine were Sweden and Finland thought Russia could do the same to their countries Sweden and Finland, both of which had been Neutral countries decided to join NATO, the Defense Pact to protect them from Russian attacks, then Turkey rejected the Swedish and Finnish applications.

    What's up friend? This information is about Turkey's role and answers the question why is there such a thing as a Defense Pact? A joint force built for defense or military purposes but in the end, these members will become victims of the economy at least to capitalize on the weapons of war produced by the strong countries that supported the Pact.

    We certainly know NATO, otherwise known as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. We also know the Quad or Quadritarial, the power of 4 countries that block China, namely India, Australia, Japan, and America. We also know that AUKUS, namely Australia, the United Kingdom, and America, was also built to contain China as a note that the defense pact must have an enemy, then the SEATO defense pact in ASEAN where the enemy is communists.

    The anti-communist SEATO, the Warsaw Pact was a Soviet bloc also known as the Eastern Bloc, built against the allied western bloc of NATO. All of these defense factors must have America in them or must be directed to Pro America, then in 2013 there will be a new challenge for the holders of world hegemony, namely America and its western allies, and to understand this we must understand more about the way of the state.

    What happened in 2013 was that China under Xi Jinping initiated what is called the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which is a distribution road for Chinese products, all of which will be tied into a belt to Beijing, which will become the center of world trade.

    The movement seems non-military, but for military intelligence or state officials who understand their country's sovereignty, military threats are one of the defense threats, while defense threats do not only come from the military, economic threats are also a dangerous threat to state sovereignty.

    As an illustration, we first enter the business world to understand the economic threat through Economic W4fare. Let's say we take the example of coca-cola or only domestic products. Like bottled tea products, this is for illustration purposes only. Friends, remember, this is only a simulation to make it easier to understand state lessons.

    Bottled tea sells at retailers, the price we illustrate is IDR 1,000 per bottle, whereas shop resellers buy it for around IDR. 800 per bottle, then other competitors such as Your tea enter, which sells a market price of around Rp. 900 and the shop price is 700 rupiah.

    Because the taste is the same, and the price is cheap, buyers switch to buying Your tea. What did Teh Botol do then? whether to lower the price of bottled tea at resellers to Rp. 600 and the reseller finally bought another bottle of tea and bottled tea was sold for Rp. 800 in general retail. Your tea brand cannot sell for Rp. 600 to resellers and lower the price of 700 Rupiah to the public, bankrupt of course even though at the price of 900 Your tea no one buys, bankrupt too. That's the industry illustration trade strategy by turning off competitors like this bottled tea drink.

    Back to China's OBOR (One Belt One Road), for example, once again, I said that the price of fertilizer in Indonesia, domestically made fertilizer in Indonesia or your country is US$ 2 per kg, China can send fertilizer for only US$ 1 per kg so that officials who If you have a trading mentality, you can import with the reason that the price of Chinese fertilizer is cheaper, the effect is that no fertilizer factory in Indonesia or your country will buy and go bankrupt even though it is cheaper, but if it is from the policy of a stateless official, it is better to increase production, then import fertilizer still prohibited or allowed to import but subject to high taxes so that local fertilizer prices remain cheaper.

    If the garment factory closes, the fertilizer factory closes, onion farmers don't want to plant onions because they are at a loss, that's the wrong strategy of the state officials because the reason for cheap imports turned out to be deadly for a country's producers.

    That's why if the state understands that China's One Belt One Road strategy in partnering with China is a Nation Threat economically, but if it's in the name of building, in the name of not having the country's money, only China can provide financial assistance, only China has human resources, only China can have the technology, and those who speak are officials who are very convincing in their way of speaking to deceive the public, let alone high-level officials, the people become fascinated by forgetting the national threat, national caution and this must be constantly reminded.

    Once again we are just reminding because many countries have become troubled with this China's One Belt One Road strategy like Bangladesh, Pakistan, Kenya, Zimbabwe, and Uganda. One of them is countries for example and there is another written report from Carmen Reinhard from the University of Harvard in 2020. Overall this study examines 2000 loans from China to 152 countries from 2011 to 2019.

    It was recorded that since 2017 alone, 50 developing countries continue to increase their debt from China, more developed countries owe their debt to China through sovereign bonds, while low-income countries usually get direct debt from Chinese State-Owned Enterprises (SOE). such as the China Development Bank, and then also the Export-Import Bank of China, so whatever it is we must be wary of attacks on state sovereignty.

    Returning to Turkey, which refused Sweden and Finland to become NATO members, is very interesting to discuss so that it becomes a lesson that we will know what an economic pact is and what a defense pact is.

    We are all informed about Russia's threats to many countries to stay neutral, don't join in helping the war as Putin said, or become a member of NATO or increase allied forces to make America the world's police, but Sweden and Finland continue to be supported by America which finally Pivot, moved to NATO, then Turkey bravely defied Sweden and Finland's decision by not signing the agreement.

    Turkey is a member of NATO, and there is a rule that a resolution will come out when all NATO members agree 100% of the members agree. Of the 30 NATO member countries currently, all have the right of veto, Turkey is one of them, and Turkey did not sign Sweden and Finland's application to become NATO members, so the resolution could never be implemented.

    Turkey not only vetoed, but Erdogan openly invited other NATO members to veto Sweden and Finland, Turkey said Sweden and Finland supported the Kurdish insurgency on the Turkish border, but military intelligence saw more of Erdogan's debt of service to Putin.

    Ankara owes a lot to Moscow. One of Erdogan's debts is the revelation of a coup plan in Turkey that would overthrow Erdogan by the CIA, which resulted in the arrest of 2000 people who were anti-Erdogan. The CIA will overthrow Erdogan because Turkey buys ISIS oil and sells some of it to China. It's a complicated state, we have to understand Turkey's steps from the perspective of Erdogan's state. May be useful. 

#GEOPOLITICS

Monday, May 30, 2022

MIDDLE EAST HEATS, IRAN CAN ATTACK ISRAEL ANYTIME, SEND NUCLEAR MISSILES!!!

    We discuss Israel conducting military exercises to attack Iran and discuss Turkey as Russia's secret weapon against NATO.

    Friends, understanding geopolitics is very important to place a country as a state and private global player. If the understanding is not correct, it will make state officials do business for the benefit of their group.

    Weak understanding of foreign geopolitics of other countries and nations, we must understand how Africa's other sweater color boss plays between conflicts and his country does not have a sea or landlock but can become the richest and fastest-growing country in the last 10 years.

    We have to understand, how Africa's Botswana and Switzerland play between countries conflict and a country that does not have a sea or Landlock but can become the richest and fastest-growing country in the last 40 years.

    Understanding Nigeria as the China of Africa, which focuses on being the leading digital country, understand why Nordic countries and northern European countries are rich because of what? even though they do not have natural resources, understand the five Central Asian countries, understand the steps of Saudi Arabia with its Aramco, understand the turmoil in the South Pacific countries, and understand the drought in Latin America which always makes domestic politics in the region always noisy and chooses to be a supplier of Drugs or drugs - illegal drugs as done by Thailand, China, Myanmar, and Afghanistan too, when Iran in recent months increased arms aid to Hamas in Palestine and Hezbollah in Lebanon, Israel began to become aggressive.

    Israel is a small country with an area only as big as the island of Madura, surrounded by 18 ideologically enemy countries, so to continue to live Israel takes America and Britain behind them, so it's not surprising that in the Middle East region, America and Britain are always entrenched with the argument of control over oil and natural gas.

    Indeed, America is the one that controls 70% of the world's oil. Saudi, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, and Emirates, for example, are producing countries but selling them is America's business, distributing them is an American business, the tankers are American business, giant tanks are American business, and technology is American business.

    Outside of America today, perhaps only Russia understands oil and gas technologically and in terms of distribution. Russia is in Iran, Russia is in Turkey, Russia is in China, and Russia is in East Asian countries such as Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and so on for oil and gas as technology companies and business partners.

    Returning to Israel, a small country surrounded by enemies, if you are asked who is Israel who has "Enemy Number One", the answer is surely Iran, within the territory of Iran and Israel, there are no territorial disputes, there are no territorial disputes because they are not attached to their country.

    The enemies of Iran and Israel are ideological enemies, both of them have threatened and killed each other for years using intelligence operations in many countries against their respective officials.

    Last month, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi openly threatened Israel, which was putting pressure on the Palestinians what is Israel's reaction this time? Israel conducts war games in the desert and clearly declares these war games to attack Iran.

    The code name of the Israeli operation this time is called "Chariot of Fire"!!! where this war exercise is similar to Drill or the act of Russian military aggression before entering Ukraine, the largest in Israel's history because all of its soldiers and its citizens' conscripted military reservists participated in this war simulation.

    What is Israel's Purpose? First, is the habituation of high-level readiness, namely high level 3 war readiness.

    The 2nd is to increase the capacity of the Israeli army and the third prepare the Israeli army and its citizens for Multi Front War and long-term war if all this happens. Israel said this preparation was important and must be done because Iran's threat was increasing because Iran was planning to attack Israel during Ibrahim Raisi's time. Just One Wrong Move Israel-Iran attack!!! 

    While in Jerusalem for the past two months, the atmosphere has been tense, War atmosphere has been under threat from Israel's gun barrel, the military exercise was held on May 29, 2022, the American and British troops as part of the war games have presented aircraft carriers, Jet Fighters, refueling aircraft in the air, and 3000 soldiers, even the Joint Force Chief Army or the commander of the American joint army sent Michael Kurela to attend this military drill for this war game. Friends, what message did you receive with this information? then what should your country do?

#GEOPOLITICS

The NATO ALLIANCE ACCUSES PUTIN WILL STARVING THE WORLD FOR VERY LONG!!!

    It is undeniable that currently there has been a food crisis in various regions of the world, this time the problem of food shortages has become a serious problem. Now the world is being hit from two directions, the first being hit by climate change, the second by Russia.

    Russia uses food as a weapon in addition to the current military war, there is also an economic war where Russia is given economic sanctions and an embargo then a financial war by paying rubles based on gold, and now Russia is using food as a war weapon. against non-sovereign countries where the leaders do not yet understand world geopolitics and have not carried out the country's geostrategic role adequately.

    Russia uses the foot as a weapon of war or better known as Food Warfare. This is a fact that is faced today in any hemisphere. Food prices have increased dramatically in recent months in several countries, this food shortage is a threat to life because it is already very short where it is estimated that in the next few months 300 million people in several regions of the world will experience hunger such as in Africa, West Asia, and Latin America. and if not addressed immediately in a few months the world will experience food problems in this decade.

    For this food problem, no country can solve this food problem alone, the question is what is the cause of this food shortage? when the world is currently stuck in a multi-front war or various forms of war, it turns out that the provision of food becomes a weapon of war or Food Weaponezide!!

    One of them is by holding back wheat, then America accuses Russia of this, wheat is the main food in various regions such as East Africa, North Africa, West Asia, Europe, and America of course. President Biden later accused Putin of winning the war. Putin starved the world.

    Anthony Blinken and the US secretary of state at the United Nations said Russia's attack by holding back the availability of wheat and grains hit world food by minus 10% of its effect and made world food prices rise by 15% in three months alone will also make 300 million people food shortages. The world as a direct result of the effects of the Russian war in Ukraine, at least 40 million Ukrainians are currently starving.

    So how does the Russian military play up the world's food supply? One of them is holding back food supplies in Russian and Ukrainian ports, only Odesa The port city that has not been conquered, the port city of Mariupol has stopped operating its port.

    Then bombed all land routes connected to and from Ukraine. Russia is targeting 40 million Ukrainians to starve to a point where neighboring countries plus NATO are forced to provide food that is currently out of stock. There were more than 28 million tonnes of wheat and grain stuck in the ports of Odesa and Mariupol and the Russians bombarded the mills and wheat fields and grain fields.

    We all know this 28 million tons can feed 200 million people a year worldwide, while Russian wheat is the provider of 30% of the world's needs, and this is also being held not shipped worldwide, the total holding of wheat by Russia and Grain by Russia or production Ukraine and Russia could starve 400 million people in the world by accusing America and Europe of Russia's actions that caused the world to starve.

    What is Moscow's real answer? America and its allies are blamed for embargoing and imposing economic sanctions on Russia. Actually, what makes the world's food supply problematic once again is the behavior of America and its allies who embargo and impose economic sanctions on Russia. There are more than 10,000 economic sanctions imposed on Russia which have prevented not only wheat from being shipped but many other types of food which have been hindered by disrupting their availability and distribution.

    Ukraine and Russia produce grains of wheat, corn, and sunflower oil that greatly influence the world. When Guterres Secretary-General of the United Nations asked Russia to release these products, Russia asked to lift economic sanctions against Russia, equal and cruel bargaining, of course, is the act of a sovereign state that cannot be negotiated in the true sense.

    Medvedev, Russia's representative at the United Nations who is also the former President of Russia, said it would be unfair if you impose economic sanctions on the Russian people, but you ask to release food for your sake, that's a strange act and request, "We are not Idiots".

    The phrase "We are not fools" is a challenge to allies and to NATO. All this puts millions of people at risk of death, food should not be a weapon to kill humans and not a weapon to be a bargaining chip in this war, but that is what is happening now.

    This is where world-class leaders should come to save the world's food because maybe if the leader understands the meaning of geopolitics in this food war and this food shortage, Indonesia, as a country has 100% sun in its territory and also its territory, contains more than 90% freshwater, organic fertilizer from The spill of Mount Merapi can make Indonesia a world food powerhouse as The Biggest Foot Country. My friends, I hope you understand.

#Geopolitics

JOKOWI IS FEARED BY AMERICA!!! THE EU PLAN AFTER G20 BALI IS DANGEROUS !!!


    Inviting Russia to the G20 event in Bali later in November 2022 by the Indonesian side actually made America angry with Indonesia and threatened to boycott the G20. Is Indonesia's step a strategic move or a blunder, is it important that Mr. Jokowi has to come to America in the ASEAN political lobby, America also lobbied for the G20, or even has to come to Elon Musk's headquarters, we will discuss in more detail about this decision.

    Starting with a fact about the war in Ukraine, where Europe and America turned out to be the ones who financed the Russian war, really America, NATO, and their allies were the countries that fought in Ukraine, giant businessmen producing war machines America and Europe benefited greatly from this war even though 40 million people in Ukraine are suffering and the country surrounding western Ukraine is suffering because it accepts refugees and its territory is used as a route for weapons to enter Ukraine. Are those war machine entrepreneurs not concerned about the victims of the war in Ukraine? What is the answer? Not care!!!

    On the business side of the weapons of war, it is certain that they do not want the war to stop, if, by state, namely European countries and Nato, the attitude of the country is different. On a campaign basis, officials and a country must look noble by asking for the war to be stopped and threatening to impoverish Russia where Europe and America have declared economic sanctions on Russia, they ordered the private sector to leave Russia and not to trade with Russia and ordered allied countries to carry out economic sanctions as well. to Russia but the American government and European countries still buy oil and gas from Russia.

    That's the hypocritical side of their country, they can ban India, and forbid China from buying petroleum from Russia but they themselves still buy the Russian product, it's a real liar from America and its allies, then what India does, for example, raises its middle finger to America and keeps buying oil from Russia?

    Likewise China and India, since the war in Ukraine increased their oil purchases from Russia to 40 million barrels, while Western Europe bought 20 billion barrels from Russia. Please note yes, India bought 40 million barrels during the nearly 3-month war between Russia-Ukraine, while Europe and its allies bought 20 billion barrels 500 times more than India.

    Europe and its allies buy Russian oil at an exchange rate of more than 20 billion dollars every month by the west for three months. Europe-America once again continues to buy Russian oil. The President of the European Union said later that if he really wanted to end the war in Ukraine and stop all purchases of Russian oil and gas by the world, then Russia would no longer have the funds to run the war, but apparently, this is not easy to do.

    There are currently high-level talks in Brussels recently that in the next six months the European Union plans to stop the purchase of Russian oil 100% which of course if it is done, will make Russia dry, the plan will be implemented after the G20 in November, namely in the month of November. This December 2022.

    You can imagine waiting for another six months, maybe six months from now the Ukrainian people no longer live in Ukraine, have moved to another country and Ukraine is in ruins.

Then there was a debate because in December, when winter arrived, Europe needed Russian gas and oil, it should be shifted or added another 3-6 months or 9-to 12 months from now the plan to block 100% of Russian gas oil.

    Then a country like Hungary through its prime minister Viktor Orban even shouted asking for more than 24 months from now to be able to prepare petroleum infrastructure from other places which made prices increase 50% more expensive than Russian oil and gas.

    Russia's oil and gas are sent using pipelines for distribution channels, if other sources use Floating Storage Regasification Unit (FSRU) ships for example, or tankers, Hungary does not have a port, they must deliver new silos, oil tanks, and distribution lines or use coal as a coal-fired power plant. fast preparation.

    Carrying out an EU order to end this year to stop oil and gas from Russia to Hungary for Hungary is tantamount to dropping a nuclear bomb on Hungary. Hungary was not willing, the Slovak state turned out to be in line with Hungary not following the European Union's suggestion to stop Russia's oil and gas by the end of 2022. Why did Hungary and Slovakia disagree and would still buy Russian oil and gas? due to geographical problems, Hungary-Slovakia is a Land Locked Country.

    Land Locked Country is a country that has no sea, no seaport, so if the European Union wants to implement the prohibition on buying Russian oil, its members will experience painful decoupling.

    Another problem is that there are two countries that conspired with NATO to get their countries accepted as NATO members, namely Sweden and Finland where America strongly supports both of them to immediately join in order to put political pressure on Russia, on the Swedish and Finnish sides there is a fear of being attacked by Russia before the application. 

    They were sent to NATO and this is indeed a propaganda statement from Russia that it will attack all new countries that become members of NATO because it threatens the security of the Russian state.

    NATO is the Nation Thread for Russia, so going back to the question at the beginning about America's anger at Indonesia for inviting Russia to the G20 in November 2022 must be resisted because what Indonesia did was right, namely inviting all G20 members without exception, then America was angry at Indonesia and prohibits all countries from buying Russian oil products, but America itself still buys Russian oil, if other countries can't, it's always forbidden if, if it's okay with its own country, it's America that applies double standards, then should Indonesia be afraid of America's threats? ? Do not. Opponent. Show the world that Indonesia's leadership is peace-loving. Show that Indonesia has an attitude.

#GEOPOLITICS

PUTIN SHOCKED, INDONESIA STOP PALM OIL EXPORTS!!! COOKING OIL TRIGGER WW3?!!


    We are into the world cooking oil crisis. Friends in the world wherever you are right now be prepared. You are entering a difficult economic period, symptoms of rising inflation and declining purchasing power have become a symptom of the world. And Germany and other European countries have felt the impact of the heavy economic period due to the war.

    But let's talk about things in a little more detail about cooking oil or cooking oil from world geopolitics. We start from Indonesia. Indonesia as the largest palm oil-producing country in the world blocks palm oil exports because of the effects of palm oil entrepreneurs playing with the bureaucracy, exporting more than domestic market needs, exceeding domestic market needs domestically because it is driven by a desire to get rich quick and its officials also conspired with the government. Oligarchy, then there is a scarcity of cooking oil in Indonesia.

    The people are angry and the next action to save the names of high-ranking officials is now they are blocking the way for palm oil shipments around the world, this no export has made the world panic, we all know that two sunflower oil-producing countries are currently at war, there are also other cooking oils such as vegetable oil. Made from soybeans or soybean oil, but currently, they are facing problems with the extreme climate being too hot in recent years, causing many droughts in their country's land which has caused many crop failures in several countries, also canola oil is experiencing the same problem.

    The question is How do you get cooking oil with all those problems in the world? Indeed, not all dishes require cooking oil, but it is still necessary, even if you eat prayer, it is best if you pour a little olive oil on the dressing or mayonnaise. There is a little cooking oil everywhere in every main dish when baking, sauteing, and even in flour for cooking the pizza uses cooking oil and currently, the supply of cooking oil is starting to be limited.

    What's your second plan? Should we increase the stock of cooking oil at home? So far, cooking oil worldwide, which has increased by 23 percent in price in Indonesia, is even higher, we will detail the root of the problem. Ukraine exports 5.4 million tons of flower oil per year and fulfills almost 50% of the world's sunflower oil needs because it is currently at war and there is no supply from Ukraine for sunflower oil.

    Russia is also a provider of sunflower oil, about 25% of the world's needs and Russia is currently under economic sanctions. We are going to Canada now, as the largest country that produces Rapeseed oil, Canada is being affected by extreme weather so domestic production has fallen by 25 percent.

    Then we go to Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay as soybean oil-producing countries and these countries are struggling because of severe drought problems so their country production has fallen by more than 30 percent in the last two years.

    Malaysia, the second-largest palm oil producer, lacks labor in oil palm plantations, resulting in reduced production. To add to the complexity of the world, Indonesia throws gasoline in the middle of the fire, Indonesia as the largest palm oil producing country prohibits the export of palm oil. Indonesia is the producer of a third of cooking oil exports or 30 million tons per year.

    The biggest importers of Indonesian Palm Oil are India and China. India even depends on more than 50% of its cooking oil needs from Indonesia, where India is the world's largest user of cooking oil, which is 13 million tons per year, 60% of which is palm oil, 25 percent is soybean oil and the remaining 12 percent is sunflower oil and the rest are other types of oil, such as olive oil, for example, if calculated per person, India needs 19 kg of cooking oil or cooking oil per year, Indonesia can meet more than 50%, then Malaysia 30% It is estimated that India will experience the effects of a cooking oil shortage and limited supplies will make cooking oil prices rise close to 30% and will bring inflation to one percent in India.

    Indonesia being able to make India inflation, this proves that Indonesia is a global player from the start, Indonesia's destiny is to become a big country as a whole world, now the price of palm oil has increased by 55% in the American market, soybean prices have increased by 27, Rapeseed Oil has increased by 50% in Europe also America and all of this is going to get worse in the future, so as a consumer what should you do? Do you buy a lot of stock cooking oil to keep at home? because in Western Europe at this time all cooking oil, Sunflower Oil, and Rapeseed oil, olive oil, can only buy no more than two bottles of cooking oil per person because they are already limited.

    There is another possibility, where 15% of cooking oil is used as fuel at this time, formerly to lower the price of gasoline where the price of cooking oil as a counterweight, now it is much more expensive so this will make the world will lack 15% of the need for oil as fuel, and we can see how dire all this is the chain effect is technically no way to increase production and in short, this is geopolitics hitting the world's households.

#Geopolitics